Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.600713 0.671827 0.748919 0.838848 0.941058 1.053827 1.187961
2025-02-16 0.490041 0.587337 0.701284 0.845228 1.023122 1.236919 1.515057
2025-02-23 0.432381 0.542513 0.678307 0.859347 1.096319 1.398605 1.817644
2025-03-02 0.377641 0.491132 0.636854 0.839642 1.117638 1.489864 2.033567
2025-03-09 0.348274 0.467491 0.626162 0.855597 1.183510 1.642380 2.345715
2025-03-16 0.316569 0.436567 0.601267 0.847441 1.212286 1.743017 2.592019
2025-03-23 0.294895 0.416918 0.589229 0.854843 1.262130 1.876696 2.900695
2025-03-30 0.271067 0.391708 0.566398 0.843155 1.280641 1.962908 3.142566
2025-04-06 0.252200 0.371966 0.549514 0.838149 1.307762 2.063533 3.417618
2025-04-13 0.228256 0.342552 0.515420 0.802732 1.281956 2.074522 3.539355
2025-04-20 0.217317 0.332219 0.509760 0.811913 1.329576 2.211396 3.897422
2025-04-27 0.207510 0.322823 0.504649 0.821171 1.377555 2.352738 4.279735
2025-05-04 0.197152 0.312005 0.496744 0.825584 1.418518 2.487716 4.671551
2025-05-11 0.187406 0.301493 0.488548 0.828762 1.457563 2.623364 5.083317
2025-05-18 0.180506 0.295162 0.486764 0.842829 1.517472 2.803827 5.609535
2025-05-25 0.168542 0.279361 0.467513 0.823528 1.512312 2.857143 5.874263
2025-06-01 0.163230 0.274674 0.467272 0.839141 1.575729 3.053031 6.475556
2025-06-08 0.154715 0.263761 0.455128 0.831160 1.591437 3.152564 6.873276
2025-06-15 0.149093 0.257625 0.451140 0.838403 1.638355 3.322040 7.456843
2025-06-22 0.141290 0.247031 0.438206 0.826967 1.645329 3.405852 7.846235
2025-06-29 0.134929 0.238699 0.428937 0.822068 1.665547 3.520751 8.328823
2025-07-06 0.125240 0.223603 0.405899 0.787409 1.618331 3.478218 8.403686
2025-07-13 0.121574 0.219666 0.404061 0.796395 1.667887 3.664161 9.104354